STOCKS AND THEIR NATURE
Today we
learn about stocks and their nature. Let’s begin
[Company don’t stay in the same categories forever]
Fast growers can lead exciting lives, and then they burn out, just as human can. They can’t maintain double digit growth forever, and sooner, and sooner or later they exhaust themselves and settle down into the comfortable single digits of sluggards and stalwarts.
Advance Micro Devices and Texas Instruments, once
champion fast growers, are now regarded as cyclicals. Cyclicals with serious
financial problem collapse and then re-emerge as turnarounds. Chrysler was a
tradition cyclical that almost went out of business, become a turnaround then
got turn around and become a cyclical again. LTV was a cyclical steel company,
and now its turnaround.
McDonald’s is a classic fast grower, but because of
the thousands of outlets it either owns or is repurchasing from the franchises,
it could be a great future asset play in real estate.
Separating the Digitals from the Wal-Marts
If you can’t
figure out what category your stocks are in, ask your broker. If a broker
recommended the stocks in the first place, then you definitely ought to ask,
because how else are you to know what you’re looking for. Are you looking for
slow growth, fast growth, recession protection, a turnaround, a cyclicals
bounce, or asset?
There is no point is treating a young company with the
potential of Wal-Mart like a stalwart, and selling for 50% gain, when there is
a good chance that your fast grower will give you a 1,000 percent gain. Shaky
companies in cyclical industries are not the ones you sleep on through
recessions.
Finding Perfect Stocks
Getting the story on a company is a lot easier if you
understand the basic business.
There is Thirteen Point That help you to choose
perfect stocks:
1. It
Sounds Dull-Or Even Better Ridiculous
The perfect
stock would be attached to the perfect company, and the perfect company has to
be engaged in a perfectly simple business, and the perfectly simple business
ought to have a perfect boring name. The more boring it is the better.
2. It
Does Something Dull
I get even
more excited when a company with a boring name also does something boring.
Crown, Cork, and Seal makes cans and bottle caps. What could be duller than
that? You won’t see an interview with the CEO of Crown, Cork, and Seal in Time
magazine alongside an interview with Lee Iacocca, but that’s a plus. There is
nothing boring about what’s happened to the shares of Crown, Cork, and Seal. I
already mention Seven Oaks International, the company that processes the
coupons that you hand in at the grocery store.
A company
that does boring things is almost as good as a company that has boring name,
and both together are terrific. Both together is guaranteed to keep the
oxymoron’s away until finally the good news compel them to buy in, thus sending
the stock price even higher. If a company with terrific earning and a strong
balance sheet also does dull things, it gives you lot of time to purchase the
stock at a discount.
3. It
Does Something Disagreeable
Let’s
understand it with example
Safety-Kleen
goes around to all the galas station and provides them with a machine that
washes greasy auto parts. This saves auto mechanics the time and trouble of
scrubbing the part by hand in pail of gasoline, and gas stations gladly pay for
service. Periodically the Safety-Kleen people come around to remove the dirty
sludge and oil from the machine, and they carry the sludge back to the refinery
to be recycled. This goes on and on, and you’ll ever see a miniseries about it
on network TV. Like Automatic Data Processing, this company has had an unbroken
run of increased earnings. Profits have gone up every quarter, and so has the
stock.
4. It’s A Spinoff
Spinoffs of
divisions or parts of companies into separate, freestanding entities.
Large parent companies do not want to spin off division and then see those spinoffs get into trouble, because that would bring embarrassing publicity that would reflect back on parents. Therefore, the spinoffs normally have strong balance sheet and well-prepared to succeed as independent entities. And once these companies are granted their independence, the new management, free to run its own show, can cut costs and take creative measures that improve the near term and long term earnings. Here s is list of some spinoffs that have done well.
5. The
Institutions Don’t Own It, And The Analysts. Don’t Follow It
If you find a stock with little or no
institution ownership, you’ve found a potential winner. Find a company that no
analyst has ever visited, or that no analyst would admit to knowing bout, and
you’ve got a double winner. When I talk to company that tells me the last
analyst showed up three years ago, I can hardly contain my enthusiasm. If
frequently happens with banks, savings-and-loans, and insurance companies,
since there are thousands of these and Wall Street only keeps up with fifty to
one hundred. I am equally enthusiastic about once-popular stocks the
professionals have abandoned, as many abandoned Chrysler at the bottom and
Exxon at bottom, just before both began to rebound.
Next
part of this post listed as soon as possible
Thanks
for your patience
Congratulation you take
one more step towards your financial freedom.
This summary from
Book-“One Up On Wall Street”
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